NZ children face a 'perfect storm' of dangerous diseases as immunisation rates fall – RNZ

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By Anna Howe, Emma Best and Matthew Hobbs* of The Conversation
Routine childhood immunisations have dropped so dramatically globally during the Covid-19 pandemic that the World Health Organisation and UNICEF (United Nations International Children’s Fund) are raising the alarm.
Immunisation coverage at six months of age has fallen in New Zealand from 80 percent in 2020 to 67 percent by June 2022, and as low as 45 percent for Māori. Photo: 123RF
Internationally, 25 million children in 2021 alone have missed out on life-saving vaccinations. This is the largest sustained drop in childhood immunisation in a generation.
In Aotearoa New Zealand, we are seeing a similarly concerning trend. The decline in childhood immunisation resulting in low overall coverage is now putting our tamariki (children) at real risk of preventable disease, especially with national borders open again.
The country is not alone in suffering collateral damage to normal childhood immunisation programmes due to the Covid-19 pandemic. But while the decline may be worrying, all is not lost.
Immunisation coverage at six months of age has fallen in New Zealand from a high of around 80 percent in early 2020 to 67 percent by June 2022, and as low as 45 percent for Māori.
This is important because immunisation coverage at six months is used as a marker for timely receipt of lifesaving government-funded vaccines, including for whooping cough (pertussis), diphtheria, polio, pneumococcal disease and rotavirus.
For example, whooping cough (pertussis), a particularly serious illness for babies, is a very real concern. Aotearoa has seen a pertussis resurgence every three to four years, meaning we are due an increase in cases at a time when we also have low vaccine coverage.
Additionally, these declines in immunisation coverage and subsequent risk of infection are especially important to consider now, as international travel picks up.
Photo: Ministry of Health
Polio, a viral disease that can cause paralysis, disappeared from Aotearoa thanks to immunisation, with the Western Pacific region declared polio free in 2000. As some parts of the world have yet to eradicate it, however, we still vaccinate children against polio.
A recent case in an unvaccinated young man in New York shows how the virus can travel and re-emerge – even in developed, polio-free countries.
Likewise, diptheria is a rare but serious disease that causes breathing problems and can also lead to nerve paralysis and heart failure, with 5 percent to 10 percent of people with the disease dying.
Until widespread immunisation after the 1940s, diphtheria was a common cause of childhood death, and we haven’t seen it in Aotearoa for decades. But diphtheria has recently been detected in Australia in two unvaccinated children.
With New Zealand’s borders fully open since 31 July, we run the risk of both these “old” diseases being imported and causing problems for our under-immunised tamariki and their whānau.
With the borders fully reopen, the chances of old diseases being re-introduced are much greater. Photo: AFP
The significant measles outbreak of 2019 serves as a warning. More than 2000 people were infected and 700 hospitalised, with the largest case numbers in Auckland.
Fiji, Tonga and Samoa also saw outbreaks, with Samoa particularly devastated by more than 5000 cases and more than 80 deaths, mostly in young children.
The severity of this outbreak could have been prevented because the combined measles, mumps and rubella (MMR) vaccine is highly effective.
The MMR vaccine is regarded as highly effective. Photo: AFP / Science Photo Library
But childhood coverage of MMR was not high enough at the time (nor has it been historically), leaving a known immunity gap of susceptible teens and young adults.
Significant efforts have since been made to close this gap in MMR coverage, although these have been dwarfed by the Covid-19 vaccination campaign.
The upshot is a potential perfect storm for another measles outbreak, with low MMR coverage worldwide and locally. Measles could “walk” through New Zealand airports and meet under-immunised tamariki and rangatahi (youth).
Despite profound progress in the 1980s, the world has seen an alarming drop in vaccination rates during the pandemic.

To help children grow up healthy and free from disease, governments must invest in health services now.
There is some good news, however. This year we’ve seen the introduction of new initiatives to help manage surges of winter ills, including the government funding influenza vaccines for children aged three to 12.
This is welcome, as influenza crosses our border every year (with the exception of 2020 when Covid-19 public health measures, including quarantine and mask wearing, were in force). Because children are often considered super-spreaders, vaccination of children can reduce influenza-like illness and related costs in both tamariki and their whānau.
But the message from World Health Organisation Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus remains urgent: Planning and tackling Covid-19 should also go hand-in-hand with vaccinating for killer diseases like measles, pneumonia and diarrhoea.
In Aotearoa New Zealand, the Covid-19 vaccination experience has also shown how Māori and Pacific community health providers can help reach high vaccination targets – especially when combined with good outreach services, increasing vaccination providers beyond GP clinics, and building the vaccination workforce.
But right now the statistics paint a concerning picture. Low childhood immunisation coverage puts tamariki at risk of many preventable and serious diseases and adds a major burden to the already strained healthcare system.
Prevention must be our top priority. It is better than the best cure, and will protect the health system from overload so it is available for those who need urgent care.
*Anne Howe is a research fellow at University of Auckland; Emma Best is a senior lecturer in the Department of Child and Youth Health at the University of Auckland; Matthew Hobbs is a senior lecturer in Public Health and co-director of the GeoHealth Laboratory, University of Canterbury.
Copyright © 2022, Radio New Zealand
In some areas measles vaccination rates for Māori and Pasifika have fallen to as low as 32 percent, leading to fears among health experts that a devastating outbreak is just around the corner.
A failed vaccination programme, a lack of capable teams, inadequate communication, a confused response and a lack of immediate action are just some of the findings contained in a scathing review into… Audio
The agency is warning of dire health implications after about 25 million children globally missed out on routine immunisations last year.
Latest figures show there could be an uptick in vaccination rates for childhood diseases following an entrenched downward slide that started well before Covid.
In September 2021 immunisation coverage… Video, Audio
Childhood immunisation rates in Taranaki have suffered as resources poured into fighting Covid-19.
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